The Indonesia Stock Exchange have revealed that
investors who concentrated on property, infrastructure and banking stocks have
gained the highest profit so far this year, standing out as Indonesia’s top
performers. All sectoral indices contained within the benchmark stock index of
Indonesia, referred to as the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG) have also shown
good performance. Indonesia's IHSG has grown by 16.14% during 1st
January to 26th May, this year.
The property sectoral index of Indonesia grew by
28.15% between 1st January and 26th May, followed by the
financial (up 23.62%) and infrastructure (up 17.99%) sectors. With the
exception of healthy general economic growth, the property and infrastructure
sectors gained a boost from the political agendas of two presidential
candidates – Prabowo Subianto and Joko "Jokowi" Widodo. Both candidates
target accelerated infrastructure growth, with improved quantity and quality of
infrastructure, whereby investments in real estate and property become more
attractive.
This year, net profit of listed property companies
is forecasted to grow further, supported by last year's orders. Therefore,
stocks of property companies will excel this year. An analyst at MNC Securities
believes the Ciputra Development and Bumi Serpong Damai are good property stock
picks. The former has ‘expansive nature’ as the latter has shown large land
banks.
During recent years, Indonesian banks have been
amongst the most profitable banks in the world. Last year, Bank Indonesia has
effectively attempted to decelerate credit growth which was standing at approximately
20% (year-on-year), to safeguard financial stability for high inflation and to
cool economic growth. Low credit penetration in conjunction with healthy
economic growth are the principal sources of Indonesian banks' profitability.
Profitability is also supported by the large gap (7% average), between the banks
offer rates for deposits and the banks offer rates for loans. Meanwhile, the
non-performing loan (NPL) ratio has remained safe at a level less than 2% at
most of the country's major lenders. This year, credit growth is assumed at 15
to 17% (y-o-y). The price to earnings ratio (PER) of banking stocks is still appealing
at 12 to 13 times.
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