Southeast Asian cities are seeing the fastest increase in prime property
prices across all of Asia, according to independent global property consultancy
Knight Frank.
"Developing Asia is seeing a much larger magnitude of growth in its
indices than developed Asia," said Nicholas Holt, head of research for
Asia Pacific.
He highlighted Thailand's Bangkok, Indonesia's Jakarta, Malaysia's Kuala
Lumpur and Cambodia's Phnom Penh as four of the top five cities when ranked by
growth in land prices.
"This is down to the strong growth in the value of prime residential and commercial property over the last two years and the lower price bases these markets were coming from," he added.
Knight Frank classifies prime property as apartments or condominiums and
commercial (office) developments.
Knight Frank singled out Jakarta as the stand out market. Its prime
residential index showed that prices spiked 184 percent in Jakarta over the
past two years, while its prime office index jumped 192.3 percent.
"Transformed over the last 15 years into a relatively open, stable
and democratic country, and fuelled by a growing middle class, demand for both
high end condominiums and premium office space in Indonesia's capital has shot
up over the last two to three years," said Knight Frank.
Another hotspot is Bangkok, the firm said, where the price of
residential development land spiked 190.7 percent over the past two years.
Donald Han, managing director at property consultants Chesterton in
Singapore, pointed out that although these developing Asian markets had seen
rapid price growth, they were some factors that could inhibit future growth.
"Mature markets are relatively transparent and it's easy for money
to come in and out. Then you have your emerging markets - which have some
restrictions. In the case of Jakarta you can only buy the right to use and not
the right to own if you're foreign," he said.
"And in the less transparent markets, like Phnom Penh and Yangon,
the rules are less clear and in most cases foreigners are not able to
buy," he added.
However, domestic demand should help support prices in cities like
Bangkok, Jakarta and Kuala Lumpur, he said, where strong local fundamentals
like a huge population and a growing middle class, has made them more resilient
and less dependent on foreign investors, unlike Singapore and Hong Kong.
"Once foreigners stop buying the music stops and the more mature
markets tend to correct, whereas emerging markets tend to be more
resilient," he added.
According to Knight Frank, the more mature markets like Hong Kong,
Singapore and Tokyo saw the lowest growth, underscoring recent talk of these
markets peaking.
"In these mature markets, the lack of prime development land has
led to more emphasis on redevelopment opportunities, while given the higher
cost of land and in some cases high holding taxes, there is often more pressure
to develop quickly," he added.
The firm's recently launched Prime Asia Development Land Index, which
analyzes prices across Asia, showed that prime Asia residential and office
development prices increased 50.4 percent and 38.3 percent respectively over
the past two years.
Chesterton's Han flagged Myanmar's capital city Yangon as the
"pearl of South east Asia" in terms of hot property markets to watch,
due to its low ownership rate of 50 percent.
According to Dr Chua, head of research for Singapore and Southeast Asia at Jones Lang LaSalle, the Philippines' capital Manila is the market to watch in terms of both office and residential asset prices.
"We have seen some strong gains across South East Asia, where
Manila takes the lead in office prices. Outsourcing activities have supported
the leasing factitively and investor interest has been lifted as well, driven
by cost saving strategies by firms in Asia and Europe," he added.
Source: www.cnbc.com
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